Trilogy Metals Inc. stock: filings, catalysts and timeline
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FundamentalsWhat is this?HideNot scored — outside AIR's $300M–$20B fundamentals band
How the business is doing on its own reported US-GAAP numbers — growth, margins, cash generation, balance-sheet strength, capital efficiency and dilution — compared with sector peers.
Source: SEC XBRL financial statements.
ValueWhat is this?HidePre-revenue — no valuation basis
How the shares are priced against sector peers, against the company's own recent history, and against a simple cash-flow estimate, using the filing numbers and the current price. AIR shows this as a band, never as a target price.
Source: SEC XBRL financial statements and end-of-day prices.
News flowWhat is this?HideBalanced
What the company has documented recently: material 8-K events (contracts, deals, results, leadership changes) and FDA approvals, weighted by recency and type. A language model's reading of each 8-K helps classify whether it is positive or negative. Filings, not press or social media.
Source: SEC EDGAR 8-K filings and FDA approvals.
MomentumWhat is this?HideWeak
The longer-term market read: the trend in end-of-day prices, strength against the market and the sector, and trading volume over roughly the past three to twelve months. It is shown, never used to rank the Shortlist.
Source: End-of-day prices.
SafetyWhat is this?HideBalanced
The risk side: leverage, liquidity, cash runway, dilution, revenue and margin swings, company size and pre-commercial status, negative 8-K events (including legal and regulatory ones), and share-price drawdown and volatility. Higher means fewer of those risk markers.
Source: SEC XBRL financial statements, SEC EDGAR 8-K filings and end-of-day prices.
Discovery Gap: Very high (99/100) · Gap confidence 58/100
Documented progress is running well ahead of market attention.
Low is the most common level — the cut-offs are fixed, and levels can shift as scores refresh.
What is this?Hide
How far documented progress (News flow) runs ahead of market attention. Attention is measured from institutional holdings reported to the SEC, trading volume, price behaviour and how richly the shares are valued — not from social media or analyst ratings.
Source: SEC EDGAR filings (8-K and 13F), FDA approvals and end-of-day prices.
How levels work. The levels use fixed cut-offs, but market attention is ranked against the other ~1,800 companies AIR covers that day (valuation against the same sector). Documented progress counts filings from the past 18 months, newer ones weighing more; attention uses the latest quarter of institutional holdings, the last three to six months of trading, and six to twelve months of price behaviour. Many companies show a Low Gap or none at all — a gap needs filings that read more positively than neutral. A level can change from one day to the next as scores refresh and the other companies move.
Gap confidenceWhat is this?HideModerate 58/100How fully AIR could measure this Gap.
How fully AIR could measure both sides of the Discovery Gap: the documented progress (News flow) and market attention (Recognition). It takes the weaker of the two, and reads zero when either side has no measurement. It describes the data, not the company.
Evidence strengthWhat is this?HideModerate 35/100Support behind the full AIR read, not only the Gap.
How much data stands behind the whole AIR read — all five perspectives, not just the Discovery Gap. Each perspective reports how complete its inputs are, and these are combined in the same proportions as the AIR Score; a perspective AIR could not score adds nothing, so missing data lowers this figure. It describes the data, not the company.
This month at a glance
Evidence timeline
- Expected
Wed 17 Feb · expected 10-K
Last year filed 17 Feb 2026.
Fri 2 Apr · expected 10-Q
Last year filed 2 Apr 2026.
- Filed
Wed 21 Oct · 8-K
Fri 2 Oct · 10-Q
Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 31 Aug 2026
News flow: Balanced 55 → Balanced 58Gap Very high · 92 → Very high · 99The filings read more positively.
Progress is running ahead of attention.
Fri 2 Oct · 8-K
8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations
Trilogy Metals closed $17.8M DOW strategic equity investment (9.1% stake), published coordinated 29-month federal/state permitting schedule targeting September 2028 Record of Decision, and formally commenced NEPA review for Arctic Project.
News flow: Balanced 55 → Balanced 58Gap Very high · 92 → Very high · 99The filings read more positively.
Progress is running ahead of attention.
Mon 21 Sep · 8-K
News flow: Balanced 55 → Balanced 52Gap Very high · 94 → Very high · 65The filings read less positively.
The gap narrowed as the filings read less positively.
Mon 14 Sep · 8-K
8-K · Items 1.01, 3.02, 8.01 — Material agreement
Trilogy Metals closed a ~$35.6M strategic equity investment from the U.S. Department of War, making the government an ~10% shareholder. Proceeds fund exploration and development of Alaska's Upper Kobuk Mineral Projects, advancing domestic copper supply.
Thu 10 Sep · 8-K
Mon 31 Aug · 8-K
Tue 4 Aug · 8-K
Thu 16 Jul · 8-K
Wed 8 Jul · 8-K
Wed 8 Jul · 10-Q
10-Q filed 2026-07-08
Tue 9 Jun · 8-K
Mon 1 Jun · 8-K
Fri 15 May · 8-K
Thu 14 May · 8-K
Thu 7 May · 8-K
Tue 21 Apr · 8-K
Thu 2 Apr · 8-K
Thu 2 Apr · 10-Q
10-Q filed 2026-04-02
Fri 27 Mar · 8-K
Mon 23 Feb · 8-K
Tue 17 Feb · 8-K
Tue 17 Feb · 10-K
10-K filed 2026-02-17
Tue 20 Jan · 8-K
Wed 17 Dec · 8-K
Fri 7 Nov · 8-K
Solid dots: a filing AIR classified as material. Grey: routine. Hollow: expected, from last year's dates — not a forecast.
Ask AIR
What would change our view
Research, not tips. No buy/sell recommendations, no price forecasts. Every score is derived from public filings and market data — figures round to whole numbers and refresh each trading day.