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Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. stock: filings, catalysts and timeline

TCBX · Banks · NYSE · As of 5 Nov 2026

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57AIR SCORE
  • FundamentalsWhat is this?Fewer than eight quarters on file

    How the business is doing on its own reported US-GAAP numbers — growth, margins, cash generation, balance-sheet strength, capital efficiency and dilution — compared with sector peers.

    Source: SEC XBRL financial statements.

  • ValueWhat is this?Pre-revenue — no valuation basis

    How the shares are priced against sector peers, against the company's own recent history, and against a simple cash-flow estimate, using the filing numbers and the current price. AIR shows this as a band, never as a target price.

    Source: SEC XBRL financial statements and end-of-day prices.

  • News flowWhat is this?Balanced

    What the company has documented recently: material 8-K events (contracts, deals, results, leadership changes) and FDA approvals, weighted by recency and type. A language model's reading of each 8-K helps classify whether it is positive or negative. Filings, not press or social media.

    Source: SEC EDGAR 8-K filings and FDA approvals.

  • MomentumWhat is this?Balanced

    The longer-term market read: the trend in end-of-day prices, strength against the market and the sector, and trading volume over roughly the past three to twelve months. It is shown, never used to rank the Shortlist.

    Source: End-of-day prices.

  • SafetyWhat is this?Balanced

    The risk side: leverage, liquidity, cash runway, dilution, revenue and margin swings, company size and pre-commercial status, negative 8-K events (including legal and regulatory ones), and share-price drawdown and volatility. Higher means fewer of those risk markers.

    Source: SEC XBRL financial statements, SEC EDGAR 8-K filings and end-of-day prices.

How AIR scores →

Fundamental score not available. Banks report under a different financial structure than AIR's fundamental engine reads. AIR still assesses this company on News flow, Momentum and Safety, and the missing score lowers its Evidence strength.

Discovery Gap: Very high (66/100) · Gap confidence 59/100

Very high66
DISCOVERY GAP

Documented progress is running well ahead of market attention.

Low is the most common level — the cut-offs are fixed, and levels can shift as scores refresh.

What is this?

How far documented progress (News flow) runs ahead of market attention. Attention is measured from institutional holdings reported to the SEC, trading volume, price behaviour and how richly the shares are valued — not from social media or analyst ratings.

Source: SEC EDGAR filings (8-K and 13F), FDA approvals and end-of-day prices.

How levels work. The levels use fixed cut-offs, but market attention is ranked against the other ~1,800 companies AIR covers that day (valuation against the same sector). Documented progress counts filings from the past 18 months, newer ones weighing more; attention uses the latest quarter of institutional holdings, the last three to six months of trading, and six to twelve months of price behaviour. Many companies show a Low Gap or none at all — a gap needs filings that read more positively than neutral. A level can change from one day to the next as scores refresh and the other companies move.

  • Gap confidenceWhat is this?Moderate 59/100How fully AIR could measure this Gap.

    How fully AIR could measure both sides of the Discovery Gap: the documented progress (News flow) and market attention (Recognition). It takes the weaker of the two, and reads zero when either side has no measurement. It describes the data, not the company.

  • Evidence strengthWhat is this?Moderate 37/100Support behind the full AIR read, not only the Gap.

    How much data stands behind the whole AIR read — all five perspectives, not just the Discovery Gap. Each perspective reports how complete its inputs are, and these are combined in the same proportions as the AIR Score; a perspective AIR could not score adds nothing, so missing data lowers this figure. It describes the data, not the company.

This month at a glance

AIR Score™ change: 0AIR Score™ held steady this month.
Window31 Oct 2026 → 5 Nov 2026
MoversNothing moved meaningfully this month.

Evidence timeline

  1. Expected
  2. Thu 4 Mar · expected 10-K

    Last year filed 4 Mar 2026.

  3. Wed 5 May · expected 10-Q

    Last year filed 5 May 2026.

  4. Filed
  5. Tue 3 Nov · 10-Q

    Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 30 Sep 2026

  6. Wed 21 Oct · 8-K

    8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations

    Q3 2026 earnings of $19.0M missed prior quarter ($22.0M). Net interest margin compressed 13 bps QoQ to 3.70%. Efficiency ratio deteriorated to 63.10% from 56.51%. Announced $239.6M all-stock acquisition of Great Plains Bancshares.

    Gap Very high · 74 → Very high · 68

    The gap narrowed as the filings read less positively.

  7. Tue 13 Oct · 8-K

    8-K · Item 1.01 — Material agreement

    Third Coast Bancshares entered into a definitive merger agreement to acquire Great Plains Bancshares. Great Plains shareholders will receive 5,570,352 shares of TCBX common stock (subject to exchange ratio adjustment). Transaction subject to regulatory approval and customary closing conditions, expected to close by September 30, 2027.

    Gap Very high · 59 → Very high · 75

    Progress is running ahead of attention.

  8. Wed 7 Oct · 8-K

    8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events

    Gap Very high · 51 → Very high · 59

    Progress is running ahead of attention.

    The price trend weakened.

  9. Fri 18 Sep · 8-K

    8-K · Item 5.02 — Director or officer change

  10. Thu 17 Sep · 8-K

    8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events

  11. Tue 4 Aug · 10-Q

    Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 31 Jul 2026

  12. Wed 22 Jul · 8-K

    8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations

  13. Mon 13 Jul · 8-K

    8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events

  14. Thu 2 Jul · 8-K

    8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events

  15. Thu 18 Jun · 8-K

    8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events

  16. Thu 21 May · 8-K

    8-K · Item 5.02 — Director or officer change

  17. Tue 5 May · 10-Q

    Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 30 Apr 2026

  18. Fri 1 May · 8-K

    8-K · Items 1.01, 2.03 — Material agreement

  19. Wed 22 Apr · 8-K

    8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations

  20. Thu 19 Mar · 8-K

    8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events

  21. Wed 4 Mar · 10-K

    Annual report (10-K), FY2025

  22. Mon 2 Feb · 8-K

    8-K · Items 2.01, 5.02 — Acquisition or disposal of assets

  23. Fri 23 Jan · 8-K

    8-K filed 2026-01-23

  24. Wed 21 Jan · 8-K

    8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations

  25. Fri 16 Jan · 8-K

    8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events

  26. Thu 18 Dec · 8-K

    8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events

  27. Fri 5 Dec · 8-K

    8-K · Item 5.02 — Director or officer change

  28. Tue 4 Nov · 10-Q

    Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 31 Oct 2025

  29. Mon 27 Oct · 8-K

    8-K · Item 1.01 — Material agreement

  30. Wed 22 Oct · 8-K

    8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events

  31. Wed 22 Oct · 8-K

    8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations

  32. Mon 22 Sep · 8-K

    8-K · Item 3.01 — Listing notice

  33. Thu 18 Sep · 8-K

    8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events

Solid dots: a filing AIR classified as material. Grey: routine. Hollow: expected, from last year's dates — not a forecast.

Ask AIR

What would change our view

A weaker balance sheet in the next filing cycle, a material regulatory setback, or attention arriving — which closes the gap by design would move the score, and the page would show which one did.

Research, not tips. No buy/sell recommendations, no price forecasts. Every score is derived from public filings and market data — figures round to whole numbers and refresh each trading day.