Transocean Ltd. stock: filings, catalysts and timeline
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FundamentalsWhat is this?HideWatch
How the business is doing on its own reported US-GAAP numbers — growth, margins, cash generation, balance-sheet strength, capital efficiency and dilution — compared with sector peers.
Source: SEC XBRL financial statements.
ValueWhat is this?HideStrong
How the shares are priced against sector peers, against the company's own recent history, and against a simple cash-flow estimate, using the filing numbers and the current price. AIR shows this as a band, never as a target price.
Source: SEC XBRL financial statements and end-of-day prices.
News flowWhat is this?HideBalanced
What the company has documented recently: material 8-K events (contracts, deals, results, leadership changes) and FDA approvals, weighted by recency and type. A language model's reading of each 8-K helps classify whether it is positive or negative. Filings, not press or social media.
Source: SEC EDGAR 8-K filings and FDA approvals.
MomentumWhat is this?HideStrong
The longer-term market read: the trend in end-of-day prices, strength against the market and the sector, and trading volume over roughly the past three to twelve months. It is shown, never used to rank the Shortlist.
Source: End-of-day prices.
SafetyWhat is this?HideBalanced
The risk side: leverage, liquidity, cash runway, dilution, revenue and margin swings, company size and pre-commercial status, negative 8-K events (including legal and regulatory ones), and share-price drawdown and volatility. Higher means fewer of those risk markers.
Source: SEC XBRL financial statements, SEC EDGAR 8-K filings and end-of-day prices.
Discovery Gap: High (33/100) · Gap confidence 65/100
Filings show more traction than the tape reflects.
Low is the most common level — the cut-offs are fixed, and levels can shift as scores refresh.
What is this?Hide
How far documented progress (News flow) runs ahead of market attention. Attention is measured from institutional holdings reported to the SEC, trading volume, price behaviour and how richly the shares are valued — not from social media or analyst ratings.
Source: SEC EDGAR filings (8-K and 13F), FDA approvals and end-of-day prices.
How levels work. The levels use fixed cut-offs, but market attention is ranked against the other ~1,800 companies AIR covers that day (valuation against the same sector). Documented progress counts filings from the past 18 months, newer ones weighing more; attention uses the latest quarter of institutional holdings, the last three to six months of trading, and six to twelve months of price behaviour. Many companies show a Low Gap or none at all — a gap needs filings that read more positively than neutral. A level can change from one day to the next as scores refresh and the other companies move.
Gap confidenceWhat is this?HideStrong 65/100How fully AIR could measure this Gap.
How fully AIR could measure both sides of the Discovery Gap: the documented progress (News flow) and market attention (Recognition). It takes the weaker of the two, and reads zero when either side has no measurement. It describes the data, not the company.
Evidence strengthWhat is this?HideStrong 78/100Support behind the full AIR read, not only the Gap.
How much data stands behind the whole AIR read — all five perspectives, not just the Discovery Gap. Each perspective reports how complete its inputs are, and these are combined in the same proportions as the AIR Score; a perspective AIR could not score adds nothing, so missing data lowers this figure. It describes the data, not the company.
This month at a glance
Evidence timeline
- Expected
Tue 23 Feb · expected 10-K
Last year filed 23 Feb 2026.
Wed 5 May · expected 10-Q
Last year filed 5 May 2026.
- Filed
Tue 3 Nov · 10-Q
Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 30 Sep 2026
Recognition: Very strong 82 → Strong 75Value: Balanced 61 → Strong 67Gap Medium · 21 → High · 33Market attention has faded.
The shares became cheaper on AIR's value read.
Progress is running ahead of attention.
The price trend weakened.
Mon 2 Nov · 8-K
8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations
Recognition: Very strong 82 → Strong 75Value: Balanced 61 → Strong 67Gap Medium · 22 → High · 33Market attention has faded.
The shares became cheaper on AIR's value read.
Progress is running ahead of attention.
The price trend weakened.
Fri 23 Oct · 8-K
8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events
Value: Strong 66 → Balanced 63The shares became dearer on AIR's value read.
The price trend strengthened.
Mon 19 Oct · 8-K
Recognition: Strong 75 → Strong 79Value: Strong 70 → Strong 66Gap High · 28 → Medium · 23The shares became dearer on AIR's value read.
The gap narrowed — attention is catching up.
The price trend strengthened.
Thu 15 Oct · 8-K
8-K · Items 1.01, 2.03 — Material agreement
Transocean refinanced its credit facility, extending maturity to October 2031 and increasing commitments to $750M. Early retirement of $165M Aquila Notes saves ~$22M in interest expense, reflecting deleveraging commitment.
News flow: Balanced 50 → Balanced 53Recognition: Strong 74 → Strong 79Gap Low · 0 → Medium · 24The filings read more positively.
More of the market is starting to notice.
Progress is running ahead of attention.
The price trend strengthened.
Wed 14 Oct · 8-K
8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events
News flow: Balanced 50 → Balanced 53Gap Low · 0 → High · 28The filings read more positively.
Progress is running ahead of attention.
The price trend strengthened.
Fri 9 Oct · 8-K
Value: Strong 73 → Strong 69The shares became dearer on AIR's value read.
The price trend strengthened.
Wed 30 Sep · 8-K
Tue 15 Sep · 8-K
Thu 20 Aug · 8-K
Fri 7 Aug · 10-Q
Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 28 Jul 2026
Wed 5 Aug · 8-K
Wed 1 Jul · 8-K
Tue 16 Jun · 8-K
Tue 26 May · 8-K
Tue 19 May · 8-K
Tue 5 May · 8-K
Tue 5 May · 10-Q
Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 28 Apr 2026
Mon 4 May · 8-K
Thu 16 Apr · 8-K
Tue 14 Apr · 8-K
Thu 2 Apr · 8-K
Mon 23 Feb · 8-K
Mon 23 Feb · 10-K
Annual report (10-K), FY2026
Fri 20 Feb · 8-K
Wed 11 Feb · 8-K
Tue 10 Feb · 8-K
Mon 9 Feb · 8-K
Mon 5 Jan · 8-K
Mon 8 Dec · 8-K
Tue 18 Nov · 8-K
Solid dots: a filing AIR classified as material. Grey: routine. Hollow: expected, from last year's dates — not a forecast.
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What would change our view
Research, not tips. No buy/sell recommendations, no price forecasts. Every score is derived from public filings and market data — figures round to whole numbers and refresh each trading day.