Porch Group, Inc. stock: filings, catalysts and timeline
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FundamentalsWhat is this?HideBalanced
How the business is doing on its own reported US-GAAP numbers — growth, margins, cash generation, balance-sheet strength, capital efficiency and dilution — compared with sector peers.
Source: SEC XBRL financial statements.
ValueWhat is this?HideWeak
How the shares are priced against sector peers, against the company's own recent history, and against a simple cash-flow estimate, using the filing numbers and the current price. AIR shows this as a band, never as a target price.
Source: SEC XBRL financial statements and end-of-day prices.
News flowWhat is this?HideBalanced
What the company has documented recently: material 8-K events (contracts, deals, results, leadership changes) and FDA approvals, weighted by recency and type. A language model's reading of each 8-K helps classify whether it is positive or negative. Filings, not press or social media.
Source: SEC EDGAR 8-K filings and FDA approvals.
MomentumWhat is this?HideStrong
The longer-term market read: the trend in end-of-day prices, strength against the market and the sector, and trading volume over roughly the past three to twelve months. It is shown, never used to rank the Shortlist.
Source: End-of-day prices.
SafetyWhat is this?HideBalanced
The risk side: leverage, liquidity, cash runway, dilution, revenue and margin swings, company size and pre-commercial status, negative 8-K events (including legal and regulatory ones), and share-price drawdown and volatility. Higher means fewer of those risk markers.
Source: SEC XBRL financial statements, SEC EDGAR 8-K filings and end-of-day prices.
Discovery Gap: Very high (60/100) · Gap confidence 64/100
Documented progress is running well ahead of market attention.
Low is the most common level — the cut-offs are fixed, and levels can shift as scores refresh.
What is this?Hide
How far documented progress (News flow) runs ahead of market attention. Attention is measured from institutional holdings reported to the SEC, trading volume, price behaviour and how richly the shares are valued — not from social media or analyst ratings.
Source: SEC EDGAR filings (8-K and 13F), FDA approvals and end-of-day prices.
How levels work. The levels use fixed cut-offs, but market attention is ranked against the other ~1,800 companies AIR covers that day (valuation against the same sector). Documented progress counts filings from the past 18 months, newer ones weighing more; attention uses the latest quarter of institutional holdings, the last three to six months of trading, and six to twelve months of price behaviour. Many companies show a Low Gap or none at all — a gap needs filings that read more positively than neutral. A level can change from one day to the next as scores refresh and the other companies move.
Gap confidenceWhat is this?HideStrong 64/100How fully AIR could measure this Gap.
How fully AIR could measure both sides of the Discovery Gap: the documented progress (News flow) and market attention (Recognition). It takes the weaker of the two, and reads zero when either side has no measurement. It describes the data, not the company.
Evidence strengthWhat is this?HideStrong 87/100Support behind the full AIR read, not only the Gap.
How much data stands behind the whole AIR read — all five perspectives, not just the Discovery Gap. Each perspective reports how complete its inputs are, and these are combined in the same proportions as the AIR Score; a perspective AIR could not score adds nothing, so missing data lowers this figure. It describes the data, not the company.
This month at a glance
Evidence timeline
- Expected
Mon 22 Feb · expected 10-K
Last year filed 20 Feb 2026.
Wed 28 Apr · expected 10-Q
Last year filed 28 Apr 2026.
- Filed
Fri 30 Oct · 8-K
8-K · Item 1.01 — Material agreement
Porch Group entered into an ATM distribution agreement allowing the Reciprocal to sell up to 10M shares and the Company to sell up to 5M shares through StoneX Financial. Proceeds support regulatory compliance, liquidity, and general corporate purposes.
Recognition: Strong 67 → Strong 72Value: Watch 32 → Weak 19Gap Very high · 63 → Very high · 60The shares became dearer on AIR's value read.
The gap narrowed — attention is catching up.
The price trend strengthened.
Wed 28 Oct · 8-K
8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations
Q3 2026 results exceeded expectations with Insurance Services revenue up 39% YoY, Reciprocal Policies Written up 42% YoY, and Adjusted EBITDA (Excluding Reciprocal) more than doubled. Company raised full-year guidance and announced pending Allied Trust acquisition.
Value: Watch 30 → Weak 21The shares became dearer on AIR's value read.
The price trend strengthened.
Wed 28 Oct · 10-Q
Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 30 Sep 2026
Value: Watch 30 → Weak 21The shares became dearer on AIR's value read.
The price trend strengthened.
Tue 13 Oct · 8-K
8-K · Items 1.01, 3.02 — Material agreement
Porch Group agreed to acquire Allied Trust's insurance carrier and MGA for $200M total consideration. Expected to add ~$200M in reciprocal written premium and ~$25M Adjusted EBITDA in first full year, expanding into Louisiana and adding 10+ years of claims data.
News flow: Balanced 52 → Balanced 56Gap Medium · 21 → Very high · 63The filings read more positively.
Progress is running ahead of attention.
Wed 29 Jul · 8-K
Wed 29 Jul · 10-Q
Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 24 Jul 2026
Mon 15 Jun · 8-K
Thu 11 Jun · 8-K
Tue 28 Apr · 8-K
Tue 28 Apr · 10-Q
Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 23 Apr 2026
Fri 20 Feb · 10-K
Annual report (10-K), FY2026
Wed 11 Feb · 8-K
Thu 6 Nov · 10-Q
Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 31 Oct 2025
Wed 5 Nov · 8-K
Solid dots: a filing AIR classified as material. Grey: routine. Hollow: expected, from last year's dates — not a forecast.
Ask AIR
What would change our view
Research, not tips. No buy/sell recommendations, no price forecasts. Every score is derived from public filings and market data — figures round to whole numbers and refresh each trading day.