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Penske Automotive Group, Inc. stock: filings, catalysts and timeline

PAG · Industry · NYSE · As of 5 Nov 2026

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53AIR SCORE
  • FundamentalsWhat is this?Watch

    How the business is doing on its own reported US-GAAP numbers — growth, margins, cash generation, balance-sheet strength, capital efficiency and dilution — compared with sector peers.

    Source: SEC XBRL financial statements.

  • ValueWhat is this?Watch

    How the shares are priced against sector peers, against the company's own recent history, and against a simple cash-flow estimate, using the filing numbers and the current price. AIR shows this as a band, never as a target price.

    Source: SEC XBRL financial statements and end-of-day prices.

  • News flowWhat is this?Balanced

    What the company has documented recently: material 8-K events (contracts, deals, results, leadership changes) and FDA approvals, weighted by recency and type. A language model's reading of each 8-K helps classify whether it is positive or negative. Filings, not press or social media.

    Source: SEC EDGAR 8-K filings and FDA approvals.

  • MomentumWhat is this?Strong

    The longer-term market read: the trend in end-of-day prices, strength against the market and the sector, and trading volume over roughly the past three to twelve months. It is shown, never used to rank the Shortlist.

    Source: End-of-day prices.

  • SafetyWhat is this?Strong

    The risk side: leverage, liquidity, cash runway, dilution, revenue and margin swings, company size and pre-commercial status, negative 8-K events (including legal and regulatory ones), and share-price drawdown and volatility. Higher means fewer of those risk markers.

    Source: SEC XBRL financial statements, SEC EDGAR 8-K filings and end-of-day prices.

How AIR scores →

Discovery Gap: Low (0/100) · Gap confidence 54/100

Low0
DISCOVERY GAP

The market has largely caught up to the documented story.

Low is the most common level — the cut-offs are fixed, and levels can shift as scores refresh.

What is this?

How far documented progress (News flow) runs ahead of market attention. Attention is measured from institutional holdings reported to the SEC, trading volume, price behaviour and how richly the shares are valued — not from social media or analyst ratings.

Source: SEC EDGAR filings (8-K and 13F), FDA approvals and end-of-day prices.

How levels work. The levels use fixed cut-offs, but market attention is ranked against the other ~1,800 companies AIR covers that day (valuation against the same sector). Documented progress counts filings from the past 18 months, newer ones weighing more; attention uses the latest quarter of institutional holdings, the last three to six months of trading, and six to twelve months of price behaviour. Many companies show a Low Gap or none at all — a gap needs filings that read more positively than neutral. A level can change from one day to the next as scores refresh and the other companies move.

  • Gap confidenceWhat is this?Moderate 54/100How fully AIR could measure this Gap.

    How fully AIR could measure both sides of the Discovery Gap: the documented progress (News flow) and market attention (Recognition). It takes the weaker of the two, and reads zero when either side has no measurement. It describes the data, not the company.

  • Evidence strengthWhat is this?Strong 75/100Support behind the full AIR read, not only the Gap.

    How much data stands behind the whole AIR read — all five perspectives, not just the Discovery Gap. Each perspective reports how complete its inputs are, and these are combined in the same proportions as the AIR Score; a perspective AIR could not score adds nothing, so missing data lowers this figure. It describes the data, not the company.

This month at a glance

AIR Score™ change: 0AIR Score™ held steady this month.
Window31 Oct 2026 → 5 Nov 2026
MoversNothing moved meaningfully this month.

Capital returns

Latest dividend change

Dividend raised · Raised its dividend to $5.84 a share (annualized).

Filed 15 Oct 2026 · As stated in the filing →

Evidence timeline

  1. Expected
  2. Mon 1 Mar · expected 10-K

    Last year filed 27 Feb 2026.

  3. Fri 30 Apr · expected 10-Q

    Last year filed 30 Apr 2026.

  4. Filed
  5. Thu 29 Oct · 10-Q

    Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 30 Sep 2026

  6. Wed 28 Oct · 8-K

    8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations

    Q3 2026 revenue increased 5% to $8.4B; net income $221M, EPS $3.36. Company announced merger agreement to be taken private by Motown Acquisition Corp (Penske/Mitsui) at $212/share, valuing enterprise at ~$16.3B, expected to close Q1 2027.

  7. Thu 15 Oct · 8-K

    8-K · Items 1.01, 2.03, 5.02, 8.01 — Material agreement

    Penske Automotive Group agreed to be acquired by Motown Acquisition Corp. (owned by Penske Corporation and Mitsui & Co.) for $212/share in cash. Company will be delisted from NYSE and cease to be publicly traded upon closing.

    News flow: Balanced 50 → Balanced 45Recognition: Watch 44 → Balanced 47Value: Watch 43 → Watch 40Gap Low · 6 → Low · 0

    The filings read less positively.

    More of the market is starting to notice.

    The shares became dearer on AIR's value read.

    The gap closed as the filings read less positively.

    The price trend strengthened.

  8. Thu 15 Oct · 8-K

    8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events

    News flow: Balanced 50 → Balanced 45Recognition: Watch 44 → Balanced 47Value: Watch 43 → Watch 40Gap Low · 6 → Low · 0

    The filings read less positively.

    More of the market is starting to notice.

    The shares became dearer on AIR's value read.

    The gap closed as the filings read less positively.

    The price trend strengthened.

  9. Mon 10 Aug · 8-K

    8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events

  10. Thu 30 Jul · 10-Q

    Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 16 Jul 2026

  11. Wed 29 Jul · 8-K

    8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations

  12. Thu 23 Jul · 8-K

    8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events

  13. Wed 22 Jul · 8-K

    8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events

  14. Thu 14 May · 8-K

    8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events

  15. Thu 30 Apr · 10-Q

    Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 16 Apr 2026

  16. Wed 29 Apr · 8-K

    8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations

  17. Fri 27 Feb · 10-K

    Annual report (10-K), FY2026

  18. Wed 11 Feb · 8-K

    8-K · Items 2.02, 8.01 — Results of operations

  19. Wed 19 Nov · 8-K

    8-K · Item 1.01 — Material agreement

  20. Thu 30 Oct · 10-Q

    Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 24 Oct 2025

  21. Wed 29 Oct · 8-K

    8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations

  22. Wed 15 Oct · 8-K

    8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events

Solid dots: a filing AIR classified as material. Grey: routine. Hollow: expected, from last year's dates — not a forecast.

Ask AIR

What would change our view

A weaker balance sheet in the next filing cycle, a material regulatory setback, or a new evidence cluster that re-opens a distance between filings and attention would move the score, and the page would show which one did.

Research, not tips. No buy/sell recommendations, no price forecasts. Every score is derived from public filings and market data — figures round to whole numbers and refresh each trading day.