MARA Holdings, Inc. stock: filings, catalysts and timeline

MARA · Banks · Nasdaq · As of 5 Nov 2026

FundamentalsWhat is this?HideWatch
How the business is doing on its own reported US-GAAP numbers — growth, margins, cash generation, balance-sheet strength, capital efficiency and dilution — compared with sector peers.
Source: SEC XBRL financial statements.
ValueWhat is this?HideBalanced
How the shares are priced against sector peers, against the company's own recent history, and against a simple cash-flow estimate, using the filing numbers and the current price. AIR shows this as a band, never as a target price.
Source: SEC XBRL financial statements and end-of-day prices.
News flowWhat is this?HideBalanced
What the company has documented recently: material 8-K events (contracts, deals, results, leadership changes) and FDA approvals, weighted by recency and type. A language model's reading of each 8-K helps classify whether it is positive or negative. Filings, not press or social media.
Source: SEC EDGAR 8-K filings and FDA approvals.
MomentumWhat is this?HideWeak
The longer-term market read: the trend in end-of-day prices, strength against the market and the sector, and trading volume over roughly the past three to twelve months. It is shown, never used to rank the Shortlist.
Source: End-of-day prices.
SafetyWhat is this?HideBalanced
The risk side: leverage, liquidity, cash runway, dilution, revenue and margin swings, company size and pre-commercial status, negative 8-K events (including legal and regulatory ones), and share-price drawdown and volatility. Higher means fewer of those risk markers.
Source: SEC XBRL financial statements, SEC EDGAR 8-K filings and end-of-day prices.

DISCOVERY GAP

Documented progress is running well ahead of market attention.

Low is the most common level — the cut-offs are fixed, and levels can shift as scores refresh.

What is this?

How far documented progress (News flow) runs ahead of market attention. Attention is measured from institutional holdings reported to the SEC, trading volume, price behaviour and how richly the shares are valued — not from social media or analyst ratings.

Source: SEC EDGAR filings (8-K and 13F), FDA approvals and end-of-day prices.

How levels work. The levels use fixed cut-offs, but market attention is ranked against the other ~1,800 companies AIR covers that day (valuation against the same sector). Documented progress counts filings from the past 18 months, newer ones weighing more; attention uses the latest quarter of institutional holdings, the last three to six months of trading, and six to twelve months of price behaviour. Many companies show a Low Gap or none at all — a gap needs filings that read more positively than neutral. A level can change from one day to the next as scores refresh and the other companies move.

Gap confidenceWhat is this?HideModerate 56/100How fully AIR could measure this Gap.
How fully AIR could measure both sides of the Discovery Gap: the documented progress (News flow) and market attention (Recognition). It takes the weaker of the two, and reads zero when either side has no measurement. It describes the data, not the company.
Evidence strengthWhat is this?HideStrong 72/100Support behind the full AIR read, not only the Gap.
How much data stands behind the whole AIR read — all five perspectives, not just the Discovery Gap. Each perspective reports how complete its inputs are, and these are combined in the same proportions as the AIR Score; a perspective AIR could not score adds nothing, so missing data lowers this figure. It describes the data, not the company.

This month at a glance

AIR Score™ change: -1Slipped -1 on softer inputs.

Window31 Oct 2026 → 5 Nov 2026

MoversNothing moved meaningfully this month.

Evidence timeline

Expected
Tue 2 Mar · expected 10-K
Last year filed 2 Mar 2026.
Tue 11 May · expected 10-Q
Last year filed 11 May 2026.
Filed
Fri 25 Sep · 8-K
8-K · Item 1.01 — Material agreement
MARA amended its $600M Texas data center acquisition agreement. Key changes: posted $100M security deposit with electric utility, restructured milestone payments tied to regulatory audit and interconnection study completion, and replaced reconveyance provisions with third-party sale rights.
Value: Weak 20 → Watch 34
The shares became cheaper on AIR's value read.
The price trend weakened.
Thu 6 Aug · 8-K
8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations
Thu 6 Aug · 10-Q
Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 30 Jul 2026
Tue 4 Aug · 8-K
8-K · Item 5.02 — Director or officer change
Thu 9 Jul · 8-K
8-K · Items 1.01, 2.01 — Material agreement
Thu 25 Jun · 8-K
8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events
Mon 22 Jun · 8-K
8-K · Item 5.02 — Director or officer change
Mon 11 May · 8-K
8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations
Mon 11 May · 10-Q
Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 30 Apr 2026
Thu 30 Apr · 8-K
8-K · Item 1.01 — Material agreement
Thu 26 Mar · 8-K
8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events
Mon 2 Mar · 10-K
Annual report (10-K), FY2026
Thu 26 Feb · 8-K
8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations
Thu 26 Feb · 8-K
8-K · Item 1.01 — Material agreement
Wed 25 Feb · 8-K
8-K · Item 5.02 — Director or officer change
Tue 4 Nov · 10-Q
Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 28 Oct 2025
Tue 4 Nov · 8-K
8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations

Solid dots: a filing AIR classified as material. Grey: routine. Hollow: expected, from last year's dates — not a forecast.

Ask AIR

What would change our view

A weaker balance sheet in the next filing cycle, a material regulatory setback, or attention arriving — which closes the gap by design would move the score, and the page would show which one did.

Research, not tips. No buy/sell recommendations, no price forecasts. Every score is derived from public filings and market data — figures round to whole numbers and refresh each trading day.