First Mid Bancshares, Inc. stock: filings, catalysts and timeline
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FundamentalsWhat is this?HideFewer than eight quarters on file
How the business is doing on its own reported US-GAAP numbers — growth, margins, cash generation, balance-sheet strength, capital efficiency and dilution — compared with sector peers.
Source: SEC XBRL financial statements.
ValueWhat is this?HideWatch
How the shares are priced against sector peers, against the company's own recent history, and against a simple cash-flow estimate, using the filing numbers and the current price. AIR shows this as a band, never as a target price.
Source: SEC XBRL financial statements and end-of-day prices.
News flowWhat is this?HideBalanced
What the company has documented recently: material 8-K events (contracts, deals, results, leadership changes) and FDA approvals, weighted by recency and type. A language model's reading of each 8-K helps classify whether it is positive or negative. Filings, not press or social media.
Source: SEC EDGAR 8-K filings and FDA approvals.
MomentumWhat is this?HideStrong
The longer-term market read: the trend in end-of-day prices, strength against the market and the sector, and trading volume over roughly the past three to twelve months. It is shown, never used to rank the Shortlist.
Source: End-of-day prices.
SafetyWhat is this?HideStrong
The risk side: leverage, liquidity, cash runway, dilution, revenue and margin swings, company size and pre-commercial status, negative 8-K events (including legal and regulatory ones), and share-price drawdown and volatility. Higher means fewer of those risk markers.
Source: SEC XBRL financial statements, SEC EDGAR 8-K filings and end-of-day prices.
Fundamental score not available. Banks report under a different financial structure than AIR's fundamental engine reads. AIR still assesses this company on News flow, Momentum and Safety, and the missing score lowers its Evidence strength.
Discovery Gap: Very high (71/100) · Gap confidence 53/100
Documented progress is running well ahead of market attention.
Low is the most common level — the cut-offs are fixed, and levels can shift as scores refresh.
What is this?Hide
How far documented progress (News flow) runs ahead of market attention. Attention is measured from institutional holdings reported to the SEC, trading volume, price behaviour and how richly the shares are valued — not from social media or analyst ratings.
Source: SEC EDGAR filings (8-K and 13F), FDA approvals and end-of-day prices.
How levels work. The levels use fixed cut-offs, but market attention is ranked against the other ~1,800 companies AIR covers that day (valuation against the same sector). Documented progress counts filings from the past 18 months, newer ones weighing more; attention uses the latest quarter of institutional holdings, the last three to six months of trading, and six to twelve months of price behaviour. Many companies show a Low Gap or none at all — a gap needs filings that read more positively than neutral. A level can change from one day to the next as scores refresh and the other companies move.
Gap confidenceWhat is this?HideModerate 53/100How fully AIR could measure this Gap.
How fully AIR could measure both sides of the Discovery Gap: the documented progress (News flow) and market attention (Recognition). It takes the weaker of the two, and reads zero when either side has no measurement. It describes the data, not the company.
Evidence strengthWhat is this?HideModerate 47/100Support behind the full AIR read, not only the Gap.
How much data stands behind the whole AIR read — all five perspectives, not just the Discovery Gap. Each perspective reports how complete its inputs are, and these are combined in the same proportions as the AIR Score; a perspective AIR could not score adds nothing, so missing data lowers this figure. It describes the data, not the company.
This month at a glance
Evidence timeline
- Expected
Mon 9 Nov · expected 10-Q
Last year filed 7 Nov 2025.
Mon 1 Mar · expected 10-K
Last year filed 27 Feb 2026.
- Filed
Thu 29 Oct · 8-K
8-K · Item 1.01 — Material agreement
First Mid Bancshares announced definitive agreement to acquire Evergreen Bancshares for ~$70.7M in stock and cash. Transaction adds $932M in assets, expands geographic footprint, and is projected 5.0% accretive to EPS in 2028 with 33% cost savings.
Value: Watch 41 → Watch 38Gap Very high · 48 → Very high · 72The shares became dearer on AIR's value read.
Progress is running ahead of attention.
Thu 29 Oct · 8-K
8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations
Q3 2026 net income of $33.3M ($1.25 diluted EPS); announced pending acquisition of Evergreen Bancshares to reach $10B+ assets; agreed to acquire Winship Farm Management; deposit growth of $44.2M; loan portfolio declined $85.8M due to elevated payoffs.
Value: Watch 41 → Watch 38Gap Very high · 48 → Very high · 72The shares became dearer on AIR's value read.
Progress is running ahead of attention.
Wed 21 Oct · 8-K
8-K · Item 1.01 — Material agreement
First Mid Bancshares amended its registration rights agreement to add PL Generations LLC as a permitted transferee of shares issued in the 2021 LINCO Bancshares acquisition. The registration statement remains effective through August 7, 2027.
Value: Balanced 45 → Watch 41The shares became dearer on AIR's value read.
The price trend strengthened.
Fri 7 Aug · 10-Q
10-Q filed 2026-08-07
Thu 23 Jul · 8-K
Wed 15 Jul · 8-K
Fri 8 May · 10-Q
10-Q filed 2026-05-08
Fri 1 May · 8-K
Wed 29 Apr · 8-K
Wed 29 Apr · 8-K
Wed 15 Apr · 8-K
Mon 2 Mar · 8-K
Fri 27 Feb · 10-K
10-K filed 2026-02-27
Wed 25 Feb · 8-K
Fri 20 Feb · 8-K
Thu 29 Jan · 8-K
Fri 2 Jan · 8-K
Tue 30 Dec · 8-K
Fri 7 Nov · 10-Q
10-Q filed 2025-11-07
Mon 3 Nov · 8-K
Thu 30 Oct · 8-K
Thu 30 Oct · 8-K
Solid dots: a filing AIR classified as material. Grey: routine. Hollow: expected, from last year's dates — not a forecast.
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What would change our view
Research, not tips. No buy/sell recommendations, no price forecasts. Every score is derived from public filings and market data — figures round to whole numbers and refresh each trading day.