Cipher Digital Inc. stock: filings, catalysts and timeline
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FundamentalsWhat is this?HideWatch
How the business is doing on its own reported US-GAAP numbers — growth, margins, cash generation, balance-sheet strength, capital efficiency and dilution — compared with sector peers.
Source: SEC XBRL financial statements.
ValueWhat is this?HideWeak
How the shares are priced against sector peers, against the company's own recent history, and against a simple cash-flow estimate, using the filing numbers and the current price. AIR shows this as a band, never as a target price.
Source: SEC XBRL financial statements and end-of-day prices.
News flowWhat is this?HideBalanced
What the company has documented recently: material 8-K events (contracts, deals, results, leadership changes) and FDA approvals, weighted by recency and type. A language model's reading of each 8-K helps classify whether it is positive or negative. Filings, not press or social media.
Source: SEC EDGAR 8-K filings and FDA approvals.
MomentumWhat is this?HideWeak
The longer-term market read: the trend in end-of-day prices, strength against the market and the sector, and trading volume over roughly the past three to twelve months. It is shown, never used to rank the Shortlist.
Source: End-of-day prices.
SafetyWhat is this?HideWatch
The risk side: leverage, liquidity, cash runway, dilution, revenue and margin swings, company size and pre-commercial status, negative 8-K events (including legal and regulatory ones), and share-price drawdown and volatility. Higher means fewer of those risk markers.
Source: SEC XBRL financial statements, SEC EDGAR 8-K filings and end-of-day prices.
Discovery Gap: Very high (85/100) · Gap confidence 66/100
Documented progress is running well ahead of market attention.
Low is the most common level — the cut-offs are fixed, and levels can shift as scores refresh.
What is this?Hide
How far documented progress (News flow) runs ahead of market attention. Attention is measured from institutional holdings reported to the SEC, trading volume, price behaviour and how richly the shares are valued — not from social media or analyst ratings.
Source: SEC EDGAR filings (8-K and 13F), FDA approvals and end-of-day prices.
How levels work. The levels use fixed cut-offs, but market attention is ranked against the other ~1,800 companies AIR covers that day (valuation against the same sector). Documented progress counts filings from the past 18 months, newer ones weighing more; attention uses the latest quarter of institutional holdings, the last three to six months of trading, and six to twelve months of price behaviour. Many companies show a Low Gap or none at all — a gap needs filings that read more positively than neutral. A level can change from one day to the next as scores refresh and the other companies move.
Gap confidenceWhat is this?HideStrong 66/100How fully AIR could measure this Gap.
How fully AIR could measure both sides of the Discovery Gap: the documented progress (News flow) and market attention (Recognition). It takes the weaker of the two, and reads zero when either side has no measurement. It describes the data, not the company.
Evidence strengthWhat is this?HideStrong 78/100Support behind the full AIR read, not only the Gap.
How much data stands behind the whole AIR read — all five perspectives, not just the Discovery Gap. Each perspective reports how complete its inputs are, and these are combined in the same proportions as the AIR Score; a perspective AIR could not score adds nothing, so missing data lowers this figure. It describes the data, not the company.
This month at a glance
Evidence timeline
- Expected
Wed 24 Feb · expected 10-K
Last year filed 24 Feb 2026.
Wed 5 May · expected 10-Q
Last year filed 5 May 2026.
- Filed
Mon 2 Nov · 10-Q
Mon 2 Nov · 8-K
8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations
Cipher Digital achieved first HPC lease revenue at Black Pearl, expanded Barber Lake lease to 20 years adding $5.2B incremental contracted revenue (total $9.1B), received conditional base load classification for 1 GW at Colchis, and commenced lateral pipeline development for 2.5 GW on-site generation capacity.
Fri 16 Oct · 8-K
8-K · Items 1.01, 2.03, 3.02 — Material agreement
Cipher Digital issued $850M of 0.00% convertible notes due 2032 and exchanged ~$165.9M of 2030 notes for ~40.7M shares. Company entered capped call transactions (~$89.7M cost) and changed default settlement method to physical settlement for existing convertible notes.
Wed 14 Oct · 8-K
8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events
Gap Very high · 78 → Very high · 83Progress is running ahead of attention.
The price trend weakened.
Tue 13 Oct · 8-K
8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events
Gap Very high · 78 → Very high · 83Progress is running ahead of attention.
Fri 25 Sep · 8-K
Tue 4 Aug · 8-K
Tue 4 Aug · 10-Q
Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 3 Aug 2026
Mon 15 Jun · 8-K
Tue 9 Jun · 8-K
Mon 8 Jun · 8-K
Mon 8 Jun · 8-K
Tue 5 May · 8-K
Tue 5 May · 10-Q
Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 4 May 2026
Wed 25 Mar · 8-K
Tue 24 Feb · 8-K
Tue 24 Feb · 10-K
Annual report (10-K), FY2026
Wed 11 Feb · 8-K
Wed 11 Feb · 8-K
Thu 5 Feb · 8-K
Tue 3 Feb · 8-K
Mon 24 Nov · 8-K
Thu 20 Nov · 8-K
Thu 13 Nov · 8-K
Thu 6 Nov · 8-K
Tue 4 Nov · 8-K
Tue 4 Nov · 8-K
Mon 3 Nov · 10-Q
Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 31 Oct 2025
Mon 3 Nov · 8-K
Mon 6 Oct · 8-K
Wed 1 Oct · 8-K
Fri 26 Sep · 8-K
Thu 25 Sep · 8-K
Thu 25 Sep · 8-K
Solid dots: a filing AIR classified as material. Grey: routine. Hollow: expected, from last year's dates — not a forecast.
Ask AIR
What would change our view
Research, not tips. No buy/sell recommendations, no price forecasts. Every score is derived from public filings and market data — figures round to whole numbers and refresh each trading day.