Bloomin' Brands, Inc. stock: filings, catalysts and timeline
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FundamentalsWhat is this?HideWatch
How the business is doing on its own reported US-GAAP numbers — growth, margins, cash generation, balance-sheet strength, capital efficiency and dilution — compared with sector peers.
Source: SEC XBRL financial statements.
ValueWhat is this?HideBalanced
How the shares are priced against sector peers, against the company's own recent history, and against a simple cash-flow estimate, using the filing numbers and the current price. AIR shows this as a band, never as a target price.
Source: SEC XBRL financial statements and end-of-day prices.
News flowWhat is this?HideBalanced
What the company has documented recently: material 8-K events (contracts, deals, results, leadership changes) and FDA approvals, weighted by recency and type. A language model's reading of each 8-K helps classify whether it is positive or negative. Filings, not press or social media.
Source: SEC EDGAR 8-K filings and FDA approvals.
MomentumWhat is this?HideStrong
The longer-term market read: the trend in end-of-day prices, strength against the market and the sector, and trading volume over roughly the past three to twelve months. It is shown, never used to rank the Shortlist.
Source: End-of-day prices.
SafetyWhat is this?HideBalanced
The risk side: leverage, liquidity, cash runway, dilution, revenue and margin swings, company size and pre-commercial status, negative 8-K events (including legal and regulatory ones), and share-price drawdown and volatility. Higher means fewer of those risk markers.
Source: SEC XBRL financial statements, SEC EDGAR 8-K filings and end-of-day prices.
Discovery Gap: Low (0/100) · Gap confidence 53/100
The market has largely caught up to the documented story.
Low is the most common level — the cut-offs are fixed, and levels can shift as scores refresh.
What is this?Hide
How far documented progress (News flow) runs ahead of market attention. Attention is measured from institutional holdings reported to the SEC, trading volume, price behaviour and how richly the shares are valued — not from social media or analyst ratings.
Source: SEC EDGAR filings (8-K and 13F), FDA approvals and end-of-day prices.
How levels work. The levels use fixed cut-offs, but market attention is ranked against the other ~1,800 companies AIR covers that day (valuation against the same sector). Documented progress counts filings from the past 18 months, newer ones weighing more; attention uses the latest quarter of institutional holdings, the last three to six months of trading, and six to twelve months of price behaviour. Many companies show a Low Gap or none at all — a gap needs filings that read more positively than neutral. A level can change from one day to the next as scores refresh and the other companies move.
Gap confidenceWhat is this?HideModerate 53/100How fully AIR could measure this Gap.
How fully AIR could measure both sides of the Discovery Gap: the documented progress (News flow) and market attention (Recognition). It takes the weaker of the two, and reads zero when either side has no measurement. It describes the data, not the company.
Evidence strengthWhat is this?HideStrong 75/100Support behind the full AIR read, not only the Gap.
How much data stands behind the whole AIR read — all five perspectives, not just the Discovery Gap. Each perspective reports how complete its inputs are, and these are combined in the same proportions as the AIR Score; a perspective AIR could not score adds nothing, so missing data lowers this figure. It describes the data, not the company.
This month at a glance
Evidence timeline
- Expected
Fri 6 Nov · expected 10-Q
Last year filed 6 Nov 2025.
Thu 25 Feb · expected 10-K
Last year filed 25 Feb 2026.
- Filed
Mon 2 Nov · 8-K
8-K · Items 1.01, 1.02 — Material agreement
Major franchisee Out West (61 Outback Steakhouse locations) filed Chapter 11 bankruptcy. BLMN entered stalking horse asset purchase agreement for ~$26.3M plus liabilities and provided $5.5M DIP financing. Outcome uncertain; potential reputational and operational risks acknowledged.
News flow: Balanced 52 → Balanced 49Value: Balanced 60 → Balanced 63Gap High · 35 → Low · 0The filings read less positively.
The shares became cheaper on AIR's value read.
The gap closed as the filings read less positively.
Tue 29 Sep · 8-K
8-K · Items 1.01, 2.03 — Material agreement
Bloomin' Brands extended its $1.2B revolving credit facility maturity to September 2031, maintaining favorable pricing and liquidity. Transaction is leverage-neutral with no material covenant changes except addition of senior secured net leverage ratio covenant.
Value: Strong 74 → Strong 71The shares became dearer on AIR's value read.
Thu 6 Aug · 10-Q
Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 3 Aug 2026
Wed 5 Aug · 8-K
8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations
Wed 1 Jul · 8-K
8-K · Item 5.02 — Director or officer change
Thu 7 May · 10-Q
Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 4 May 2026
Wed 6 May · 8-K
8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations
Fri 24 Apr · 8-K
8-K filed 2026-04-24
Wed 25 Feb · 8-K
8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations
Wed 25 Feb · 10-K
Annual report (10-K), FY2026
Fri 13 Feb · 8-K
8-K · Item 5.02 — Director or officer change
Thu 12 Feb · 8-K
8-K · Item 5.02 — Director or officer change
Fri 12 Dec · 8-K
8-K · Item 5.02 — Director or officer change
Thu 6 Nov · 8-K
8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations
Thu 6 Nov · 10-Q
Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 3 Nov 2025
Solid dots: a filing AIR classified as material. Grey: routine. Hollow: expected, from last year's dates — not a forecast.
Ask AIR
What would change our view
Research, not tips. No buy/sell recommendations, no price forecasts. Every score is derived from public filings and market data — figures round to whole numbers and refresh each trading day.