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Bicara Therapeutics Inc. stock: filings, catalysts and timeline

BCAX · Biotech · Nasdaq · As of 4 Nov 2026

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44AIR SCORE
  • FundamentalsWhat is this?Fewer than eight quarters on file

    How the business is doing on its own reported US-GAAP numbers — growth, margins, cash generation, balance-sheet strength, capital efficiency and dilution — compared with sector peers.

    Source: SEC XBRL financial statements.

  • ValueWhat is this?Pre-revenue — no valuation basis

    How the shares are priced against sector peers, against the company's own recent history, and against a simple cash-flow estimate, using the filing numbers and the current price. AIR shows this as a band, never as a target price.

    Source: SEC XBRL financial statements and end-of-day prices.

  • News flowWhat is this?Balanced

    What the company has documented recently: material 8-K events (contracts, deals, results, leadership changes) and FDA approvals, weighted by recency and type. A language model's reading of each 8-K helps classify whether it is positive or negative. Filings, not press or social media.

    Source: SEC EDGAR 8-K filings and FDA approvals.

  • MomentumWhat is this?Weak

    The longer-term market read: the trend in end-of-day prices, strength against the market and the sector, and trading volume over roughly the past three to twelve months. It is shown, never used to rank the Shortlist.

    Source: End-of-day prices.

  • SafetyWhat is this?Balanced

    The risk side: leverage, liquidity, cash runway, dilution, revenue and margin swings, company size and pre-commercial status, negative 8-K events (including legal and regulatory ones), and share-price drawdown and volatility. Higher means fewer of those risk markers.

    Source: SEC XBRL financial statements, SEC EDGAR 8-K filings and end-of-day prices.

How AIR scores →

Fundamental score not available. AIR's fundamental engine is built for businesses with established revenue and cash flow; biotech financial profiles — often R&D-heavy or pre-revenue — don't yet fit the measures it requires. AIR still assesses this company on News flow, Momentum and Safety, and the missing score lowers its Evidence strength.

Discovery Gap: Low (9/100) · Gap confidence 43/100

Low9
DISCOVERY GAP

The market has largely caught up to the documented story.

Low is the most common level — the cut-offs are fixed, and levels can shift as scores refresh.

What is this?

How far documented progress (News flow) runs ahead of market attention. Attention is measured from institutional holdings reported to the SEC, trading volume, price behaviour and how richly the shares are valued — not from social media or analyst ratings.

Source: SEC EDGAR filings (8-K and 13F), FDA approvals and end-of-day prices.

How levels work. The levels use fixed cut-offs, but market attention is ranked against the other ~1,800 companies AIR covers that day (valuation against the same sector). Documented progress counts filings from the past 18 months, newer ones weighing more; attention uses the latest quarter of institutional holdings, the last three to six months of trading, and six to twelve months of price behaviour. Many companies show a Low Gap or none at all — a gap needs filings that read more positively than neutral. A level can change from one day to the next as scores refresh and the other companies move.

  • Gap confidenceWhat is this?Moderate 43/100How fully AIR could measure this Gap.

    How fully AIR could measure both sides of the Discovery Gap: the documented progress (News flow) and market attention (Recognition). It takes the weaker of the two, and reads zero when either side has no measurement. It describes the data, not the company.

  • Evidence strengthWhat is this?Moderate 36/100Support behind the full AIR read, not only the Gap.

    How much data stands behind the whole AIR read — all five perspectives, not just the Discovery Gap. Each perspective reports how complete its inputs are, and these are combined in the same proportions as the AIR Score; a perspective AIR could not score adds nothing, so missing data lowers this figure. It describes the data, not the company.

This month at a glance

AIR Score™ change: -1Slipped -1 on softer inputs.
Window31 Oct 2026 → 4 Nov 2026
Momentum-1Weighed on the score this month.

Evidence timeline

  1. Expected
  2. Tue 10 Nov · expected 10-Q

    Last year filed 10 Nov 2025.

  3. Tue 30 Mar · expected 10-K

    Last year filed 30 Mar 2026.

  4. Filed
  5. Tue 25 Aug · 8-K

    8-K · Item 1.01 — Material agreement

  6. Tue 11 Aug · 8-K

    8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations

  7. Tue 11 Aug · 10-Q

    Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 6 Aug 2026

  8. Tue 28 Jul · 8-K

    8-K · Item 5.02 — Director or officer change

  9. Wed 10 Jun · 8-K

    8-K filed 2026-06-10

  10. Thu 21 May · 8-K

    8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events

  11. Mon 11 May · 10-Q

    Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 5 May 2026

  12. Mon 11 May · 8-K

    8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations

  13. Mon 30 Mar · 10-K

    Annual report (10-K), FY2026

  14. Mon 30 Mar · 8-K

    8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations

  15. Thu 26 Feb · 8-K

    8-K · Items 1.01, 2.02 — Material agreement

  16. Thu 19 Feb · 8-K

    8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events

  17. Mon 12 Jan · 8-K

    8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events

  18. Mon 8 Dec · 8-K

    8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events

  19. Mon 10 Nov · 10-Q

    Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 5 Nov 2025

  20. Mon 10 Nov · 8-K

    8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations

Solid dots: a filing AIR classified as material. Grey: routine. Hollow: expected, from last year's dates — not a forecast.

Ask AIR

What would change our view

A weaker balance sheet in the next filing cycle, a material regulatory setback, or a new evidence cluster that re-opens a distance between filings and attention would move the score, and the page would show which one did.

Research, not tips. No buy/sell recommendations, no price forecasts. Every score is derived from public filings and market data — figures round to whole numbers and refresh each trading day.