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Axogen, Inc. stock: filings, catalysts and timeline

AXGN · Industrials · Nasdaq · As of 4 Nov 2026

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50AIR SCORE
  • FundamentalsWhat is this?Balanced

    How the business is doing on its own reported US-GAAP numbers — growth, margins, cash generation, balance-sheet strength, capital efficiency and dilution — compared with sector peers.

    Source: SEC XBRL financial statements.

  • ValueWhat is this?Weak

    How the shares are priced against sector peers, against the company's own recent history, and against a simple cash-flow estimate, using the filing numbers and the current price. AIR shows this as a band, never as a target price.

    Source: SEC XBRL financial statements and end-of-day prices.

  • News flowWhat is this?Balanced

    What the company has documented recently: material 8-K events (contracts, deals, results, leadership changes) and FDA approvals, weighted by recency and type. A language model's reading of each 8-K helps classify whether it is positive or negative. Filings, not press or social media.

    Source: SEC EDGAR 8-K filings and FDA approvals.

  • MomentumWhat is this?Strong

    The longer-term market read: the trend in end-of-day prices, strength against the market and the sector, and trading volume over roughly the past three to twelve months. It is shown, never used to rank the Shortlist.

    Source: End-of-day prices.

  • SafetyWhat is this?Balanced

    The risk side: leverage, liquidity, cash runway, dilution, revenue and margin swings, company size and pre-commercial status, negative 8-K events (including legal and regulatory ones), and share-price drawdown and volatility. Higher means fewer of those risk markers.

    Source: SEC XBRL financial statements, SEC EDGAR 8-K filings and end-of-day prices.

How AIR scores →

Discovery Gap: Medium (22/100) · Gap confidence 55/100

Medium22
DISCOVERY GAP

Some evidence isn't yet fully priced in.

Low is the most common level — the cut-offs are fixed, and levels can shift as scores refresh.

What is this?

How far documented progress (News flow) runs ahead of market attention. Attention is measured from institutional holdings reported to the SEC, trading volume, price behaviour and how richly the shares are valued — not from social media or analyst ratings.

Source: SEC EDGAR filings (8-K and 13F), FDA approvals and end-of-day prices.

How levels work. The levels use fixed cut-offs, but market attention is ranked against the other ~1,800 companies AIR covers that day (valuation against the same sector). Documented progress counts filings from the past 18 months, newer ones weighing more; attention uses the latest quarter of institutional holdings, the last three to six months of trading, and six to twelve months of price behaviour. Many companies show a Low Gap or none at all — a gap needs filings that read more positively than neutral. A level can change from one day to the next as scores refresh and the other companies move.

  • Gap confidenceWhat is this?Moderate 55/100How fully AIR could measure this Gap.

    How fully AIR could measure both sides of the Discovery Gap: the documented progress (News flow) and market attention (Recognition). It takes the weaker of the two, and reads zero when either side has no measurement. It describes the data, not the company.

  • Evidence strengthWhat is this?Strong 87/100Support behind the full AIR read, not only the Gap.

    How much data stands behind the whole AIR read — all five perspectives, not just the Discovery Gap. Each perspective reports how complete its inputs are, and these are combined in the same proportions as the AIR Score; a perspective AIR could not score adds nothing, so missing data lowers this figure. It describes the data, not the company.

This month at a glance

AIR Score™ change: 0AIR Score™ held steady this month.
Window31 Oct 2026 → 4 Nov 2026
MoversNothing moved meaningfully this month.

Evidence timeline

  1. Expected
  2. Wed 24 Feb · expected 10-K

    Last year filed 24 Feb 2026.

  3. Wed 28 Apr · expected 10-Q

    Last year filed 28 Apr 2026.

  4. Filed
  5. Wed 28 Oct · 8-K

    8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations

    Q3 2026 revenue of $75.8M (+26.2% YoY) exceeded expectations. Full-year guidance raised to ≥$290M (+29% growth). BioCircuit acquisition completed; commercial insurance coverage for Avance reached ~96%. Prostate market development initiated for 2027.

    Recognition: Strong 67 → Strong 76

    More of the market is starting to notice.

    The price trend strengthened.

  6. Wed 28 Oct · 10-Q

    Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 30 Sep 2026

    Recognition: Strong 67 → Strong 76

    More of the market is starting to notice.

    The price trend strengthened.

  7. Thu 1 Oct · 8-K

    8-K filed 2026-10-01

    Recognition: Strong 73 → Strong 68Value: Weak 22 → Watch 25Gap Low · 4 → High · 28

    Market attention has faded.

    The shares became cheaper on AIR's value read.

    Progress is running ahead of attention.

    The price trend weakened.

  8. Thu 10 Sep · 8-K

    8-K · Items 1.01, 8.01 — Material agreement

    Axogen announced definitive agreement to acquire BioCircuit Technologies for $200M cash. BioCircuit's NerveTape is FDA-approved sutureless nerve repair device. Transaction expected Q4 2026; anticipated accretive to revenue growth, adjusted EBITDA margin, and adjusted EPS in year one while maintaining positive free cash flow.

  9. Wed 29 Jul · 8-K

    8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations

  10. Wed 29 Jul · 10-Q

    Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 27 Jul 2026

  11. Tue 23 Jun · 8-K

    8-K filed 2026-06-23

  12. Tue 28 Apr · 8-K

    8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations

  13. Tue 28 Apr · 10-Q

    Quarterly report (10-Q), period ending 24 Apr 2026

  14. Tue 24 Feb · 10-K

    Annual report (10-K), FY2026

  15. Tue 24 Feb · 8-K

    8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations

  16. Fri 23 Jan · 8-K

    8-K · Items 1.01, 8.01 — Material agreement

  17. Mon 12 Jan · 8-K

    8-K · Item 2.02 — Results of operations

  18. Fri 5 Dec · 8-K

    8-K · Item 5.02 — Director or officer change

  19. Thu 4 Dec · 8-K

    8-K · Item 8.01 — Other events

Earlier →

Solid dots: a filing AIR classified as material. Grey: routine. Hollow: expected, from last year's dates — not a forecast.

Ask AIR

What would change our view

A weaker balance sheet in the next filing cycle, a material regulatory setback, or a new evidence cluster that re-opens a distance between filings and attention would move the score, and the page would show which one did.

Research, not tips. No buy/sell recommendations, no price forecasts. Every score is derived from public filings and market data — figures round to whole numbers and refresh each trading day.